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VIX Retreats as Markets Bounce – VXX, UVXY Calendar Trade Ideas

Posted by Scott Murray on August 22, 2013
Posted in: Uncategorized. Tagged: futures, Options, scott murray, uvxy, VIX, Volatility, VXX.

Weird day as the S&P climbed oblivious to the halted Nasdaq. Considering how many Nasdaq stocks are in the S&P 500, it was interesting that the S&P rose 6 points while the Nasdaq was offline. Most folks say that this will hurt confidence and do damage. I say no way, people will forget this and move on quickly, Main St. doesn’t care. Did the Flash Crash change anything? Realistically, like Buffett likes to say, if the exchange was closed for a month it wouldn’t matter to him, and that is how Main St. should be thinking anyway.

The S&P crossed back above the famous 50 day moving average:

spy822

The September future fell back and is almost in buy territory again:

vixsep822

One way of using time decay payment direct payday loans in your favor is to buy VXX or UVXY calendars. One trade that looks attractive would be:

Sell Aug 30 UVXY $38 for 1.75

Buy Sep $38 for $4.60. Net debit roughly $2.85.

uvxychain822

This has heavy theta working for you and you can sell against your long for 4 weeks. You could nearly pay off the long position in two weeks and get a free runner into the Fed meeting Sep 17.

The VXX offers a diagonal opportunity to get a free rider into the Fed meeting:

vxxchain822

Sell the Sep 6th, and buy the Sep 20th calls for a net debit of .06. This would work perfectly if the VXX sits at $15 on the Friday after Labor Day, then you let the long calls run.

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